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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+3.72vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.43+4.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.64+3.03vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.87+3.46vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.42+1.75vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.22+3.26vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-0.05vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09-3.37vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.69-2.92vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.07-2.18vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.45-3.97vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.09-4.24vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota-0.49-0.91vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Webb Institute1.7315.0%1st Place
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6.85Tufts University1.437.0%1st Place
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6.03U. S. Naval Academy1.649.8%1st Place
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7.46Princeton University1.875.7%1st Place
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6.75University of Rhode Island1.426.7%1st Place
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9.26The Citadel1.222.9%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.6%1st Place
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4.63Roger Williams University2.0915.4%1st Place
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6.08Brown University1.699.4%1st Place
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7.82Northeastern University1.076.2%1st Place
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7.03Connecticut College1.455.9%1st Place
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7.76University of Wisconsin1.096.7%1st Place
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12.09University of Minnesota-0.491.1%1st Place
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11.56SUNY Stony Brook-0.281.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Gregory Walters | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 8.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 15.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Quinn | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 21.7% | 46.5% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 25.4% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.