← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech0.34+3.22vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University1.15+1.16vs Predicted
-
3Hampton University2.11-1.00vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University1.61-1.42vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University0.55-0.94vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech0.34-2.78vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-0.29-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.22Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
-
3.16Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
-
2.0Hampton University2.110.4%1st Place
-
2.58Christopher Newport University1.610.2%1st Place
-
4.06Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
-
4.22Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
-
4.98William and Mary-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gringer | 6.3% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 28.4% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 15.3% | 22.4% | 19.6% | 22.0% | 14.9% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 43.3% | 28.0% | 17.7% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 25.0% | 26.1% | 24.7% | 16.1% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 7.5% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 23.9% | 23.5% | 19.8% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 6.3% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 28.4% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Castagna | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 24.3% | 49.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.