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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+3.68vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+4.15vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+1.58vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.42+2.82vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.45+2.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.64+0.01vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.43-0.16vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.22+1.21vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.09-0.98vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.07-2.18vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-4.15vs Predicted
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12Princeton University1.87-4.62vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota-0.49-1.02vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Webb Institute1.7315.6%1st Place
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6.15Brown University1.698.2%1st Place
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4.58Roger Williams University2.0914.8%1st Place
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6.82University of Rhode Island1.427.2%1st Place
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7.05Connecticut College1.455.9%1st Place
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6.01U. S. Naval Academy1.6410.1%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University1.437.5%1st Place
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9.21The Citadel1.224.3%1st Place
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8.02University of Wisconsin1.093.9%1st Place
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7.82Northeastern University1.075.5%1st Place
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6.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.5%1st Place
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7.38Princeton University1.876.7%1st Place
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11.98University of Minnesota-0.491.5%1st Place
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11.62SUNY Stony Brook-0.281.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 15.6% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jack Flores | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 6.9% |
| Lucas Quinn | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 20.3% | 45.6% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 23.8% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.