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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.11+1.06vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.55+1.93vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.15+0.17vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.61-2.45vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.34-1.70vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.29-2.02vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.34-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Hampton University2.110.4%1st Place
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3.93Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
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3.17Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.55Christopher Newport University1.610.3%1st Place
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4.3Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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4.98William and Mary-0.290.0%1st Place
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4.3Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 41.9% | 28.6% | 16.2% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 8.2% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 20.6% | 26.8% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 15.4% | 19.1% | 22.9% | 22.9% | 15.5% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 25.4% | 26.0% | 25.5% | 15.4% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 19.0% | 27.8% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Castagna | 3.0% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 20.2% | 51.6% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 19.0% | 27.8% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.