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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.34+3.22vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.61+0.58vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.11-1.00vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.34+0.22vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.29-0.08vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.15-2.71vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.55-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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2.58Christopher Newport University1.610.3%1st Place
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2.0Hampton University2.110.4%1st Place
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4.22Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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4.92William and Mary-0.290.0%1st Place
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3.29Christopher Newport University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.99Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gringer | 6.2% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 26.8% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 26.5% | 26.6% | 21.8% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 42.1% | 29.3% | 18.5% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 6.2% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 26.8% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Castagna | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 22.3% | 48.9% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 13.9% | 17.2% | 25.3% | 20.6% | 15.1% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 7.9% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 23.9% | 25.6% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.