Race 4A

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Luke Zylinski 6.7% 6.3% 7.4% 8.0% 8.5% 9.7% 8.1% 8.5% 9.0% 9.2% 7.9% 6.3% 3.8% 0.8%
Rayne Duff 15.3% 13.2% 13.4% 12.7% 11.0% 9.0% 7.4% 6.7% 4.3% 3.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Connor Mraz 6.1% 6.9% 6.0% 7.0% 6.6% 8.6% 8.5% 7.7% 9.0% 8.2% 9.6% 8.1% 5.9% 2.1%
Katherine McNamara 9.2% 9.8% 9.4% 8.9% 9.4% 8.5% 9.7% 8.5% 8.5% 6.9% 5.0% 3.6% 2.2% 0.3%
Tyler Nash 7.5% 8.2% 7.1% 8.2% 8.1% 9.0% 9.0% 8.4% 7.9% 9.6% 7.4% 5.7% 3.2% 0.8%
Oliver Stokke 15.5% 14.8% 13.4% 11.7% 10.3% 9.4% 7.4% 6.3% 5.0% 2.9% 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Lucas Quinn 4.5% 5.3% 6.5% 5.6% 5.8% 6.6% 6.9% 7.8% 9.7% 10.2% 9.0% 10.8% 8.3% 2.8%
Caden Scheiblauer 10.5% 9.2% 10.0% 10.5% 9.4% 8.5% 9.6% 9.2% 7.7% 4.8% 5.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.4%
Harris Padegs 6.5% 7.6% 7.0% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 8.2% 9.5% 8.3% 8.6% 9.0% 7.7% 3.6% 1.2%
Jack Flores 6.9% 7.2% 7.8% 8.6% 8.5% 7.6% 8.4% 8.1% 8.2% 8.9% 8.6% 6.9% 3.7% 0.7%
Joshua Dillon 5.7% 5.6% 5.6% 5.4% 6.8% 6.6% 7.1% 8.0% 9.3% 8.9% 10.1% 10.8% 7.6% 2.6%
Gregory Walters 3.5% 3.2% 3.8% 3.9% 4.7% 5.5% 5.2% 5.8% 7.2% 8.9% 12.2% 13.5% 15.5% 7.1%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.0% 1.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 1.9% 2.7% 2.7% 4.2% 5.2% 9.3% 20.1% 46.5%
Brendan Strein 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 1.9% 1.6% 2.6% 2.9% 2.9% 5.5% 6.9% 11.7% 23.8% 34.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.