Race 5A

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Luke Zylinski 7.4% 7.3% 7.7% 8.0% 6.9% 8.4% 8.4% 8.5% 8.6% 8.6% 7.4% 7.2% 4.2% 1.4%
Oliver Stokke 16.1% 14.1% 12.3% 11.5% 10.2% 8.8% 7.4% 7.1% 4.8% 3.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Jack Flores 8.6% 7.4% 7.5% 7.0% 9.4% 8.6% 8.2% 9.2% 8.8% 8.2% 6.7% 6.4% 3.2% 0.9%
Harris Padegs 7.0% 6.9% 7.4% 6.8% 9.0% 8.6% 8.2% 9.3% 8.8% 8.2% 7.6% 7.4% 3.5% 1.3%
Lucas Quinn 5.1% 5.6% 5.2% 6.9% 7.4% 7.3% 7.5% 8.2% 8.1% 10.4% 10.4% 9.6% 6.2% 2.2%
Caden Scheiblauer 8.2% 9.9% 9.8% 9.2% 9.3% 8.3% 9.5% 7.8% 8.3% 6.4% 5.7% 4.5% 2.5% 0.4%
Tyler Nash 7.0% 7.9% 7.8% 8.9% 7.3% 9.0% 8.5% 8.8% 9.2% 7.2% 7.6% 6.5% 3.1% 1.0%
Rayne Duff 14.8% 14.9% 12.5% 10.8% 10.6% 9.2% 8.3% 6.8% 4.8% 3.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Katherine McNamara 8.6% 9.8% 9.2% 10.1% 9.0% 8.3% 9.6% 7.4% 8.1% 7.0% 6.3% 3.9% 2.0% 0.5%
Connor Mraz 5.5% 6.2% 7.4% 7.0% 7.3% 9.2% 6.9% 7.9% 8.7% 8.9% 9.7% 8.8% 5.2% 1.2%
Gregory Walters 3.6% 3.3% 4.2% 4.3% 4.1% 4.2% 5.5% 5.5% 6.9% 9.1% 11.3% 15.7% 15.3% 6.9%
Joshua Dillon 6.2% 4.7% 6.2% 6.6% 5.5% 6.6% 7.6% 7.8% 8.8% 9.2% 10.7% 9.5% 8.1% 2.6%
Brendan Strein 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 2.3% 1.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.4% 5.1% 5.9% 9.4% 26.3% 34.2%
Tiernan O'Kane 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 4.8% 5.8% 8.9% 19.2% 47.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.