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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.11+1.05vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.61+0.55vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.15+0.15vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.34+0.23vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.55-0.96vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.34-2.77vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.29-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Hampton University2.110.4%1st Place
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2.55Christopher Newport University1.610.3%1st Place
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3.15Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
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4.23Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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4.04Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.23Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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4.98William and Mary-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 39.7% | 31.8% | 17.2% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 27.9% | 25.9% | 21.9% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 15.4% | 19.1% | 23.2% | 23.8% | 14.6% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 6.4% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 29.6% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 7.3% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 22.7% | 22.9% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 6.4% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 29.6% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Castagna | 3.3% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 22.0% | 50.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.