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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.69+5.05vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.64+4.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.43+3.74vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.07+3.97vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.73-0.43vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.09-1.27vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.09+0.86vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.45-1.07vs Predicted
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9Princeton University1.87-1.43vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota-0.49+2.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-4.07vs Predicted
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12The Citadel1.22-2.63vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.42-6.38vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Brown University1.699.3%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Naval Academy1.649.4%1st Place
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6.74Tufts University1.437.6%1st Place
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7.97Northeastern University1.074.9%1st Place
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4.57Webb Institute1.7317.6%1st Place
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4.73Roger Williams University2.0914.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Wisconsin1.094.8%1st Place
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6.93Connecticut College1.457.1%1st Place
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7.57Princeton University1.875.8%1st Place
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12.1University of Minnesota-0.490.5%1st Place
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6.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.1%1st Place
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9.37The Citadel1.223.4%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island1.427.4%1st Place
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11.58SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jack Flores | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 17.6% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 14.0% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Quinn | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 19.6% | 46.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 8.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Strein | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 12.3% | 24.6% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.