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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.34+3.22vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.61+0.59vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.15+0.15vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.11-1.98vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.34-0.78vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.55-1.97vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.29-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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2.59Christopher Newport University1.610.2%1st Place
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3.15Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.02Hampton University2.110.4%1st Place
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4.22Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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4.03Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.99William and Mary-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gringer | 6.6% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 20.7% | 27.4% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 24.4% | 30.7% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 17.2% | 16.3% | 25.2% | 22.1% | 14.5% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 41.1% | 29.7% | 18.5% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 6.6% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 20.7% | 27.4% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 8.0% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 23.6% | 22.7% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Castagna | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 24.6% | 49.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.