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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.11+1.05vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.34+2.19vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.15+0.17vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.61-1.46vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.55-0.94vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.34-2.81vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.29-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Hampton University2.110.4%1st Place
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4.19Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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3.17Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.54Christopher Newport University1.610.3%1st Place
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4.06Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.19Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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4.98William and Mary-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 41.9% | 29.4% | 15.5% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 6.6% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 27.5% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 15.2% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 23.0% | 15.4% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 25.4% | 26.9% | 24.9% | 14.8% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 7.8% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 21.1% | 26.2% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 6.6% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 27.5% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Castagna | 3.1% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 20.3% | 51.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.