Race 7A

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Payne Donaldson 10.5% 9.0% 10.4% 9.5% 9.7% 9.0% 9.8% 10.1% 7.3% 7.2% 4.6% 2.3% 0.6%
Katherine McNamara 11.7% 11.5% 11.1% 10.5% 9.6% 8.6% 9.0% 9.3% 7.9% 5.4% 3.4% 1.9% 0.1%
Gregory Walters 3.5% 4.6% 3.8% 4.8% 5.2% 6.1% 6.9% 7.9% 11.1% 11.9% 14.9% 13.6% 5.8%
Jack Flores 8.3% 10.7% 8.3% 10.2% 9.4% 8.3% 10.2% 8.6% 8.3% 8.3% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9%
Oliver Stokke 19.9% 13.7% 14.8% 12.9% 10.8% 9.1% 6.9% 4.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Brendan Strein 1.7% 1.8% 1.6% 1.8% 2.6% 3.8% 3.7% 4.6% 4.2% 7.0% 11.1% 22.9% 33.1%
Luke Zylinski 7.3% 9.9% 9.2% 8.5% 8.8% 9.8% 9.8% 10.2% 9.2% 7.4% 5.2% 3.5% 1.2%
Tyler Nash 8.1% 9.3% 10.4% 9.4% 10.3% 9.7% 8.8% 8.6% 9.3% 7.0% 5.3% 2.6% 1.1%
Connor Mraz 7.8% 6.7% 8.4% 8.6% 8.5% 8.5% 9.7% 8.2% 9.8% 10.2% 7.0% 5.1% 1.7%
Joshua Dillon 5.2% 6.5% 6.5% 7.4% 7.4% 9.8% 8.6% 9.4% 9.0% 10.9% 9.8% 6.8% 2.7%
Caden Scheiblauer 11.4% 11.8% 10.4% 10.7% 10.0% 9.8% 8.6% 7.8% 7.0% 5.9% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
Noah Hallerman 3.5% 3.4% 3.2% 4.0% 5.1% 4.7% 6.1% 7.0% 8.2% 11.0% 17.2% 16.9% 9.7%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.2% 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 2.1% 3.8% 4.5% 5.8% 10.3% 19.7% 42.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.