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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Hampton University2.11+0.06vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.34+1.20vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.29+0.92vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.61-2.44vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.15-2.73vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.55-3.01vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.34-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Hampton University2.110.4%1st Place
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4.2Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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4.92William and Mary-0.290.1%1st Place
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2.56Christopher Newport University1.610.2%1st Place
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3.27Christopher Newport University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.99Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.2Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 41.8% | 28.0% | 17.7% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 6.6% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 26.8% | 23.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Castagna | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 51.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 24.9% | 27.4% | 24.4% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 13.7% | 19.9% | 21.5% | 21.7% | 16.6% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 8.0% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 22.8% | 25.5% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 6.6% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 26.8% | 23.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.