Race 8A

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katherine McNamara 11.3% 11.6% 9.6% 11.6% 10.2% 11.4% 8.2% 8.5% 7.7% 4.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.4%
Payne Donaldson 11.0% 10.7% 10.2% 9.4% 9.3% 8.6% 10.3% 8.7% 7.6% 7.2% 4.5% 2.0% 0.4%
Gregory Walters 4.6% 4.7% 3.5% 5.3% 4.8% 6.7% 7.0% 8.0% 10.1% 11.8% 14.1% 13.2% 6.2%
Caden Scheiblauer 9.9% 11.8% 10.8% 10.1% 11.5% 9.7% 9.0% 8.0% 8.1% 6.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Connor Mraz 6.9% 6.8% 8.6% 8.2% 8.3% 8.4% 8.3% 10.3% 10.1% 9.6% 7.8% 5.2% 1.5%
Tyler Nash 9.4% 8.0% 10.0% 9.4% 8.6% 9.4% 9.9% 9.4% 8.3% 8.2% 5.9% 2.7% 0.7%
Joshua Dillon 5.9% 5.6% 7.5% 6.8% 7.1% 7.8% 9.6% 9.8% 9.5% 11.5% 9.4% 6.9% 2.6%
Jack Flores 9.2% 9.9% 9.3% 8.6% 8.9% 9.3% 10.4% 9.3% 7.6% 7.8% 6.5% 2.5% 0.5%
Noah Hallerman 2.8% 3.6% 3.1% 4.5% 4.3% 5.3% 5.8% 6.1% 8.3% 11.2% 16.7% 17.3% 11.0%
Oliver Stokke 18.4% 15.2% 15.0% 12.2% 10.7% 9.3% 6.7% 4.9% 4.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Luke Zylinski 7.9% 8.7% 8.8% 9.8% 10.9% 9.5% 8.2% 10.4% 8.5% 7.4% 5.9% 3.2% 0.7%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.1% 1.7% 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.5% 3.4% 3.6% 4.0% 4.9% 10.4% 20.0% 43.1%
Brendan Strein 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 2.1% 3.0% 2.9% 5.8% 7.4% 12.0% 23.2% 32.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.