Race 9A

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 16.9% 15.8% 13.0% 13.4% 10.9% 10.5% 7.7% 5.5% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 7.8% 6.6% 8.5% 9.0% 8.4% 8.6% 10.6% 11.6% 11.1% 10.6% 5.7% 1.7%
Oliver Stokke 17.9% 16.1% 14.1% 13.2% 12.3% 9.1% 7.1% 4.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Joshua Dillon 6.0% 5.5% 6.5% 8.6% 6.7% 9.3% 10.4% 11.5% 12.6% 12.5% 8.1% 2.3%
Luke Zylinski 7.2% 9.0% 9.6% 9.7% 10.5% 9.9% 9.3% 10.8% 10.8% 8.0% 3.9% 1.2%
Jack Flores 8.8% 9.7% 9.4% 9.2% 9.0% 10.4% 11.1% 9.8% 9.5% 7.8% 4.4% 0.9%
Tyler Nash 7.8% 9.8% 9.6% 9.2% 11.5% 10.8% 9.6% 9.7% 8.9% 7.8% 4.0% 1.1%
Caden Scheiblauer 11.3% 11.8% 11.2% 10.6% 10.4% 8.9% 10.2% 10.1% 7.2% 5.4% 2.5% 0.4%
Brendan Strein 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.9% 3.3% 2.9% 4.7% 6.8% 11.2% 25.9% 36.4%
Katherine McNamara 9.7% 9.4% 11.2% 10.5% 11.5% 11.2% 10.0% 9.6% 7.6% 5.9% 3.1% 0.2%
Noah Hallerman 3.9% 3.2% 4.0% 3.2% 4.7% 5.5% 7.5% 8.8% 11.7% 17.8% 17.5% 12.2%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 3.5% 3.3% 6.5% 9.8% 23.9% 43.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.