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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.34+3.25vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.15+1.18vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.61-0.44vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.11-1.98vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.29-0.01vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.55-2.01vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.34-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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3.18Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.56Christopher Newport University1.610.3%1st Place
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2.02Hampton University2.110.4%1st Place
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4.99William and Mary-0.290.0%1st Place
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3.99Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.25Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gringer | 6.2% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 19.9% | 28.1% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 16.2% | 18.9% | 22.8% | 20.9% | 15.1% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 26.5% | 25.2% | 24.0% | 16.3% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 40.0% | 31.7% | 17.4% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Castagna | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 12.2% | 22.7% | 51.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 7.4% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 22.4% | 25.9% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 6.2% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 19.9% | 28.1% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.