Race 10A

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Oliver Stokke 16.8% 16.1% 14.7% 12.4% 11.1% 8.9% 7.4% 6.7% 3.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Katherine McNamara 8.9% 10.8% 11.8% 11.1% 10.1% 11.1% 9.7% 8.6% 8.5% 5.8% 3.0% 0.8%
Caden Scheiblauer 10.0% 9.1% 10.5% 10.5% 10.5% 10.0% 10.7% 9.8% 8.7% 6.7% 3.0% 0.5%
Jack Flores 8.8% 8.5% 8.8% 9.4% 9.5% 10.4% 9.2% 9.7% 10.5% 9.0% 5.3% 0.8%
Luke Zylinski 7.7% 7.7% 8.8% 9.0% 9.2% 11.5% 10.4% 9.2% 11.5% 8.3% 5.2% 1.6%
Tyler Nash 8.6% 10.0% 8.9% 9.2% 10.4% 9.1% 10.1% 9.5% 9.8% 8.6% 5.0% 0.8%
Lucas Quinn 5.9% 6.8% 6.5% 6.5% 8.2% 8.2% 9.3% 11.1% 10.9% 14.0% 9.3% 3.5%
Rayne Duff 17.5% 15.1% 13.2% 13.8% 10.8% 9.0% 8.1% 5.6% 3.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Connor Mraz 6.9% 7.2% 6.6% 8.1% 9.2% 9.4% 8.4% 10.8% 11.2% 11.6% 7.8% 2.8%
Tiernan O'Kane 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 2.8% 3.1% 4.8% 8.2% 24.1% 48.2%
Brendan Strein 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 1.8% 2.5% 2.5% 3.3% 5.2% 5.2% 9.2% 27.4% 37.2%
Joshua Dillon 6.3% 5.8% 7.2% 6.8% 6.3% 8.0% 10.7% 10.7% 11.9% 14.4% 8.2% 3.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.