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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.15+2.21vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.11+0.03vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.61-0.46vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.34+0.19vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.55-1.95vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.34-2.81vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.29-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Christopher Newport University1.150.1%1st Place
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2.03Hampton University2.110.4%1st Place
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2.54Christopher Newport University1.610.3%1st Place
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4.19Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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4.05Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.19Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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4.98William and Mary-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Buhl | 14.6% | 20.4% | 21.9% | 21.9% | 14.9% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 43.3% | 27.0% | 17.4% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 25.3% | 29.6% | 20.7% | 16.4% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 6.7% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 29.0% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 7.4% | 9.3% | 17.8% | 21.9% | 23.1% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 6.7% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 29.0% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Castagna | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 22.9% | 50.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.