Race 11A

connecticut-valley-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 16.2% 16.7% 14.5% 11.2% 10.3% 9.9% 8.8% 5.8% 3.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Joshua Dillon 5.2% 6.6% 6.7% 7.1% 8.3% 7.5% 7.3% 10.9% 11.7% 15.1% 10.0% 3.4%
Connor Mraz 7.5% 6.6% 7.0% 8.0% 9.4% 8.8% 10.4% 9.9% 11.2% 11.2% 8.2% 1.9%
Katherine McNamara 10.8% 10.5% 11.9% 11.0% 10.5% 11.3% 9.2% 8.0% 7.5% 5.5% 3.3% 0.5%
Luke Zylinski 7.8% 8.9% 7.1% 8.9% 9.6% 9.9% 10.2% 11.5% 10.4% 8.5% 5.9% 1.2%
Lucas Quinn 4.8% 7.1% 7.4% 7.0% 7.0% 8.2% 10.1% 10.5% 11.6% 13.6% 9.0% 3.7%
Brendan Strein 1.8% 1.5% 1.8% 1.9% 2.5% 2.9% 3.3% 4.6% 6.3% 9.6% 26.1% 37.9%
Tyler Nash 8.1% 7.8% 9.3% 10.0% 9.1% 7.8% 9.6% 11.4% 10.1% 10.0% 5.7% 1.2%
Oliver Stokke 17.4% 14.4% 13.8% 12.6% 11.1% 9.2% 7.8% 6.0% 4.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2%
Caden Scheiblauer 10.2% 11.8% 10.6% 10.4% 10.1% 10.8% 11.8% 7.6% 6.9% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.9% 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.7% 1.9% 3.3% 5.9% 7.5% 22.4% 47.7%
Jack Flores 8.3% 7.0% 8.5% 10.2% 10.0% 11.0% 9.3% 10.5% 10.5% 8.2% 5.2% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.