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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.15+2.18vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.61+0.54vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.34+1.22vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.55-0.04vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.11-2.87vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.34-2.78vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.29-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Christopher Newport University1.150.1%1st Place
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2.54Christopher Newport University1.610.3%1st Place
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4.22Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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3.96Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
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2.13Hampton University2.110.4%1st Place
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4.22Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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4.97William and Mary-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Buhl | 14.8% | 20.9% | 22.3% | 21.0% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 27.7% | 25.7% | 23.0% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 19.7% | 28.1% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 7.7% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 24.8% | 24.6% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 39.5% | 27.6% | 19.0% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 19.7% | 28.1% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Castagna | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 21.1% | 51.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.