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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.38+2.14vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.49-0.14vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.79+2.04vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+1.69vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.01-1.32vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.72+0.48vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.38-2.47vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.97-0.94vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-2.26-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Brown University0.3817.3%1st Place
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1.86Northwestern University1.4950.0%1st Place
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5.04Salve Regina University-0.795.6%1st Place
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5.69University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.4%1st Place
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3.68Northeastern University0.0111.7%1st Place
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6.48Bates College-1.722.6%1st Place
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4.53University of New Hampshire-0.387.0%1st Place
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7.06Middlebury College-1.971.7%1st Place
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7.51University of New Hampshire-2.260.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Case | 17.3% | 23.1% | 22.2% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 50.0% | 27.8% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.6% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 2.9% |
| Kai Latham | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 14.3% | 6.7% |
| Isabella Cho | 11.7% | 17.1% | 20.1% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 19.3% | 21.5% | 17.3% |
| Sean Lund | 7.0% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 24.9% | 29.3% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 22.7% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.