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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.15+2.21vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.61+0.57vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.55+0.90vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.11-1.98vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.34-0.69vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.34-1.69vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.29-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.57Christopher Newport University1.610.3%1st Place
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3.9Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
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2.02Hampton University2.110.4%1st Place
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4.31Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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4.31Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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4.98William and Mary-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Buhl | 15.2% | 18.9% | 22.9% | 21.5% | 15.2% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 25.8% | 27.8% | 21.4% | 15.3% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 8.9% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 23.0% | 25.1% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 41.0% | 30.1% | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 6.2% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 20.4% | 27.0% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 6.2% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 20.4% | 27.0% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Castagna | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 23.2% | 50.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.