Race 12A

connecticut-valley-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rayne Duff 15.8% 15.6% 14.4% 12.8% 11.3% 8.6% 7.3% 6.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 6.7% 7.1% 6.8% 7.4% 8.1% 8.8% 9.2% 9.7% 9.3% 10.7% 9.7% 5.1% 1.4%
Oliver Stokke 16.5% 14.3% 14.6% 12.1% 11.2% 9.0% 7.2% 5.9% 4.6% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Katherine McNamara 10.2% 9.6% 9.3% 10.9% 9.8% 10.9% 10.3% 8.4% 7.6% 6.8% 4.0% 1.8% 0.4%
Joshua Dillon 5.9% 6.8% 6.5% 6.6% 7.5% 7.3% 8.0% 9.4% 10.8% 11.3% 11.0% 6.8% 2.1%
Tyler Nash 7.9% 8.0% 8.2% 8.2% 8.9% 10.3% 10.7% 10.5% 9.4% 8.2% 6.2% 2.8% 0.8%
Lucas Quinn 6.1% 6.1% 6.5% 6.3% 7.8% 9.0% 8.4% 9.0% 11.4% 11.2% 10.2% 6.5% 1.6%
Caden Scheiblauer 10.0% 11.9% 9.7% 10.5% 10.2% 8.8% 9.3% 8.1% 8.3% 6.8% 4.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Brendan Strein 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 3.2% 3.5% 5.5% 8.1% 11.8% 24.8% 31.1%
Jack Flores 7.4% 8.4% 10.0% 9.0% 9.7% 9.6% 9.0% 10.5% 9.4% 7.8% 5.6% 2.8% 0.8%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.2% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 2.6% 3.4% 4.0% 6.0% 11.6% 20.1% 43.8%
Madison Suh 2.0% 2.3% 2.1% 3.1% 2.5% 3.6% 5.3% 5.2% 6.9% 9.8% 17.8% 23.0% 16.4%
Luke Zylinski 8.7% 7.8% 8.6% 9.1% 8.8% 10.0% 9.4% 10.2% 8.7% 8.0% 5.8% 3.6% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.