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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.61+1.63vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.15+1.15vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.11-1.00vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.55-0.06vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.34-0.71vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.34-2.71vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.29-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Christopher Newport University1.610.2%1st Place
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3.15Christopher Newport University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.0Hampton University2.110.4%1st Place
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3.94Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.29Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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4.29Virginia Tech0.340.1%1st Place
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4.98William and Mary-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Miller | 23.1% | 27.8% | 23.8% | 16.2% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 15.9% | 21.8% | 20.4% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 43.5% | 27.1% | 18.7% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 9.2% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 22.2% | 26.3% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 5.6% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 22.1% | 25.5% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Gringer | 5.6% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 22.1% | 25.5% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Castagna | 2.7% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 22.1% | 50.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.