Race 1B

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kyle Pfrang 25.5% 19.5% 16.1% 13.5% 10.3% 6.3% 4.1% 2.1% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Shea Smith 8.8% 10.5% 10.1% 10.8% 9.5% 10.9% 10.4% 9.2% 7.8% 7.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Katharine Doble 15.9% 14.5% 13.6% 13.0% 10.7% 9.3% 8.1% 7.0% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Olin Guck 6.7% 6.9% 7.9% 8.4% 10.1% 9.7% 9.0% 11.6% 9.3% 10.2% 7.0% 3.0% 0.4%
Everett Botwinick 7.2% 8.5% 10.1% 9.8% 9.6% 10.5% 9.7% 11.6% 9.3% 7.0% 4.9% 1.7% 0.1%
Abe Weston 6.5% 6.8% 6.9% 7.3% 9.0% 9.6% 10.8% 10.7% 11.0% 9.8% 7.8% 3.3% 0.7%
Ossian Kamal 3.9% 3.6% 4.2% 4.8% 6.0% 7.0% 8.3% 8.6% 11.2% 13.5% 15.8% 10.4% 2.5%
Fritz Baldauf 3.6% 4.7% 4.8% 5.0% 6.2% 6.6% 8.4% 9.8% 11.2% 13.0% 15.3% 9.2% 2.1%
Will Priebe 9.4% 11.3% 11.6% 10.5% 11.2% 11.2% 10.7% 8.5% 7.3% 5.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Kenneth Buck 2.0% 3.2% 4.2% 4.5% 4.4% 5.3% 5.9% 7.1% 9.6% 14.0% 18.1% 15.9% 5.8%
Jessica Schaefer 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 2.9% 2.8% 4.2% 6.8% 12.2% 31.2% 32.0%
Andy Giaya 0.5% 0.8% 0.4% 1.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.5% 1.6% 3.2% 4.1% 7.0% 21.9% 56.1%
Bradley Whiteway 9.1% 8.6% 9.2% 10.0% 11.1% 10.5% 10.2% 9.3% 10.1% 6.2% 4.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.