← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.56+2.18vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University1.07+0.47vs Predicted
-
3William and Mary0.95-0.42vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech-0.62+0.67vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University0.22-1.30vs Predicted
-
6Hampton University-0.35-1.60vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech-0.62-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.18Christopher Newport University0.560.2%1st Place
-
2.47Christopher Newport University1.070.3%1st Place
-
2.58William and Mary0.950.3%1st Place
-
4.67Virginia Tech-0.620.1%1st Place
-
3.7Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
-
4.4Hampton University-0.350.1%1st Place
-
4.67Virginia Tech-0.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Bluefeld | 16.6% | 21.2% | 19.1% | 21.4% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ross | 32.9% | 23.0% | 20.7% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Diana Kong-Wasielewski | 27.2% | 26.1% | 21.1% | 14.9% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 23.3% | 41.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 11.0% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 19.0% | 20.4% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 26.0% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 23.3% | 41.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.