Race 3B

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kyle Pfrang 25.5% 20.2% 16.3% 12.7% 9.2% 6.5% 5.0% 2.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Everett Botwinick 8.2% 8.5% 8.0% 10.7% 10.3% 9.4% 10.5% 9.8% 9.0% 8.5% 5.0% 1.8% 0.2%
Shea Smith 9.0% 10.8% 9.8% 10.2% 11.7% 11.5% 8.8% 8.8% 8.6% 6.2% 3.3% 1.5% 0.0%
Katharine Doble 15.6% 14.7% 15.9% 13.5% 11.1% 9.3% 8.1% 5.7% 3.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Olin Guck 6.2% 5.9% 7.5% 7.5% 8.2% 11.2% 11.1% 11.3% 11.4% 8.9% 7.5% 3.0% 0.2%
Bradley Whiteway 8.4% 10.4% 9.3% 10.6% 10.5% 10.9% 10.2% 10.4% 8.6% 6.0% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Will Priebe 10.8% 10.7% 11.2% 10.4% 12.2% 9.8% 10.5% 8.8% 7.0% 5.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Fritz Baldauf 3.2% 4.0% 4.6% 5.1% 5.5% 6.5% 7.5% 9.7% 12.0% 14.7% 13.7% 10.4% 2.9%
Abe Weston 6.0% 6.8% 7.2% 7.2% 8.7% 9.8% 10.6% 11.6% 10.9% 11.0% 6.9% 3.0% 0.3%
Ossian Kamal 3.1% 4.2% 5.0% 4.9% 4.5% 7.3% 7.1% 10.4% 10.9% 12.9% 16.8% 10.1% 2.9%
Kenneth Buck 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 4.9% 4.8% 4.8% 6.8% 7.3% 10.1% 12.4% 20.4% 15.3% 4.5%
Andy Giaya 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.6% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 4.1% 7.0% 19.7% 59.5%
Jessica Schaefer 0.9% 0.5% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 2.8% 4.7% 7.3% 12.4% 33.0% 29.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.