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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.07+1.50vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.95+0.61vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.22+0.60vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.56-0.86vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.62-1.24vs Predicted
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7Hampton University-0.35-2.60vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.62-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Christopher Newport University1.070.3%1st Place
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2.61William and Mary0.950.3%1st Place
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3.6Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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3.14Christopher Newport University0.560.2%1st Place
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4.76Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.4Hampton University-0.350.1%1st Place
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4.76Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Ross | 29.5% | 27.4% | 19.8% | 13.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Diana Kong-Wasielewski | 28.6% | 24.5% | 19.9% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 12.8% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 21.9% | 21.3% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 17.9% | 17.3% | 24.3% | 19.8% | 15.0% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 23.2% | 44.7% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 18.2% | 24.9% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 23.2% | 44.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.