← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1William and Mary0.95+1.64vs Predicted
-
2Drexel University0.22+1.58vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech-0.62+1.68vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University1.07-1.54vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University0.56-1.75vs Predicted
-
6Hampton University-0.35-1.60vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech-0.62-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.64William and Mary0.950.3%1st Place
-
3.58Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
-
4.68Virginia Tech-0.620.1%1st Place
-
2.46Christopher Newport University1.070.3%1st Place
-
3.25Christopher Newport University0.560.2%1st Place
-
4.4Hampton University-0.350.1%1st Place
-
4.68Virginia Tech-0.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Kong-Wasielewski | 26.7% | 25.2% | 21.2% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 13.8% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 19.5% | 22.0% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 22.8% | 42.4% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ross | 29.9% | 25.7% | 22.5% | 14.3% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 17.2% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 20.4% | 15.5% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 6.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 25.5% | 31.3% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 22.8% | 42.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.