Race 4B

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kyle Pfrang 25.1% 20.3% 16.4% 13.0% 9.2% 7.4% 4.2% 1.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Shea Smith 8.5% 9.0% 10.3% 11.2% 11.2% 10.3% 10.8% 10.0% 7.8% 5.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.1%
Everett Botwinick 6.9% 8.5% 8.1% 9.0% 10.6% 10.9% 10.1% 10.2% 10.1% 8.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.6%
Katharine Doble 15.2% 15.2% 13.6% 12.2% 11.9% 10.5% 8.1% 6.6% 3.2% 2.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Bradley Whiteway 10.2% 8.0% 9.2% 10.7% 11.1% 9.4% 9.8% 9.7% 7.7% 7.2% 4.7% 1.9% 0.4%
Abe Weston 5.7% 7.6% 7.0% 8.2% 8.4% 9.7% 10.1% 10.0% 11.6% 10.1% 7.4% 3.5% 0.9%
Olin Guck 7.1% 7.0% 7.0% 7.7% 8.3% 9.0% 10.0% 10.8% 11.2% 9.3% 7.4% 4.1% 1.0%
Will Priebe 10.5% 11.7% 12.7% 12.3% 10.8% 9.9% 9.2% 8.2% 6.8% 4.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Ossian Kamal 3.5% 3.8% 5.0% 4.2% 5.7% 7.0% 7.6% 8.3% 11.5% 13.5% 15.7% 11.3% 3.0%
Jessica Schaefer 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 3.1% 2.5% 4.0% 5.2% 11.7% 28.1% 37.4%
Fritz Baldauf 3.0% 4.1% 4.5% 6.2% 6.0% 5.9% 8.0% 10.4% 11.5% 14.8% 13.5% 8.6% 3.5%
Kenneth Buck 3.1% 2.9% 3.7% 3.2% 4.0% 5.4% 6.8% 8.0% 9.4% 13.5% 18.4% 14.5% 6.9%
Kai Latham 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 3.3% 3.7% 5.0% 8.8% 24.1% 46.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.