Race 5B

connecticut-valley-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katharine Doble 14.8% 15.8% 14.0% 13.5% 11.0% 10.7% 7.8% 5.9% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Kyle Pfrang 23.4% 21.2% 16.4% 13.3% 9.3% 6.7% 4.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Olin Guck 6.5% 6.2% 7.3% 8.0% 8.5% 8.6% 10.6% 10.7% 10.5% 11.5% 6.7% 4.4% 0.8%
Bradley Whiteway 9.7% 8.1% 9.2% 10.8% 10.5% 10.2% 11.7% 9.4% 7.8% 6.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5%
Will Priebe 11.7% 10.4% 11.4% 10.7% 11.5% 11.5% 8.8% 8.8% 7.3% 4.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Shea Smith 8.5% 10.1% 10.5% 9.2% 10.4% 10.7% 10.3% 9.7% 9.2% 6.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Fritz Baldauf 3.1% 3.6% 4.0% 5.9% 6.7% 6.9% 8.8% 10.3% 11.3% 13.7% 13.7% 9.3% 2.8%
Abe Weston 6.2% 8.4% 7.7% 8.3% 8.6% 9.2% 9.4% 9.0% 10.4% 10.2% 8.2% 3.4% 0.7%
Kenneth Buck 2.6% 2.6% 2.9% 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 5.7% 7.8% 10.0% 13.5% 18.1% 16.1% 7.1%
Jessica Schaefer 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.9% 2.8% 3.4% 5.9% 5.4% 11.3% 26.7% 37.0%
Ossian Kamal 4.1% 3.6% 5.0% 5.1% 5.3% 6.6% 6.9% 9.4% 10.8% 13.3% 15.6% 10.1% 4.3%
Kai Latham 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 2.5% 3.5% 5.1% 10.7% 24.3% 46.0%
Everett Botwinick 7.6% 8.2% 9.4% 9.3% 11.3% 10.0% 10.8% 10.5% 8.6% 6.9% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.