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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.07+1.50vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.95+0.60vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.56+0.12vs Predicted
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4Hampton University-0.35+0.39vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.62-0.21vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.22-2.39vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.62-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Christopher Newport University1.070.3%1st Place
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2.6William and Mary0.950.3%1st Place
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3.12Christopher Newport University0.560.2%1st Place
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4.39Hampton University-0.350.1%1st Place
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4.79Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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3.61Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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4.79Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Ross | 29.6% | 26.5% | 20.7% | 14.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Diana Kong-Wasielewski | 28.9% | 24.3% | 20.3% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 17.8% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 22.0% | 15.6% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 25.8% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 22.5% | 45.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 13.0% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 21.4% | 21.6% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 22.5% | 45.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.