Race 6B

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kyle Pfrang 24.2% 21.5% 17.6% 11.8% 9.2% 6.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Shea Smith 8.2% 9.6% 10.0% 11.3% 10.4% 10.8% 9.8% 8.4% 8.3% 7.0% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2%
Katharine Doble 17.1% 14.7% 12.6% 12.6% 11.9% 9.9% 7.4% 6.5% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Abe Weston 6.7% 6.6% 6.9% 8.9% 9.4% 9.0% 9.2% 10.4% 10.3% 11.4% 6.9% 3.4% 0.9%
Everett Botwinick 7.3% 8.6% 8.8% 8.9% 9.5% 9.9% 11.6% 9.9% 9.6% 8.4% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Will Priebe 10.2% 11.3% 11.2% 11.1% 11.8% 12.2% 9.2% 8.6% 6.8% 4.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Bradley Whiteway 9.3% 8.2% 10.6% 11.2% 9.8% 9.8% 10.0% 10.3% 9.2% 6.7% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3%
Kenneth Buck 2.0% 2.4% 3.8% 3.5% 3.5% 6.1% 7.1% 8.6% 9.8% 12.8% 17.9% 15.9% 6.4%
Olin Guck 6.1% 6.6% 6.5% 8.2% 9.0% 9.8% 10.0% 10.6% 9.8% 10.2% 8.8% 3.5% 0.6%
Fritz Baldauf 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.1% 5.8% 6.6% 8.8% 8.6% 11.6% 13.1% 13.9% 9.5% 3.8%
Ossian Kamal 3.2% 3.8% 4.8% 5.3% 6.8% 6.3% 7.5% 8.9% 11.2% 13.0% 15.7% 10.5% 3.1%
Jessica Schaefer 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 2.8% 3.2% 4.0% 6.2% 10.9% 29.4% 35.8%
Kai Latham 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 0.8% 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 3.2% 3.5% 4.7% 8.9% 22.4% 48.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.