Race 7B

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kyle Pfrang 26.4% 22.0% 15.2% 11.4% 10.2% 7.2% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Olin Guck 7.9% 7.7% 8.8% 9.4% 9.6% 9.4% 12.6% 13.6% 14.4% 5.5% 1.1%
Will Priebe 11.8% 11.2% 12.2% 11.3% 12.7% 12.4% 11.3% 8.8% 6.1% 1.8% 0.2%
Katharine Doble 14.9% 16.2% 15.6% 14.0% 10.8% 10.5% 8.3% 6.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Abe Weston 6.5% 6.5% 7.8% 8.5% 10.7% 11.4% 11.6% 15.2% 14.4% 6.1% 1.4%
Calvin Schmid 10.8% 10.8% 12.6% 14.4% 12.8% 11.3% 11.5% 8.6% 4.9% 2.0% 0.2%
Shea Smith 8.3% 9.2% 11.2% 11.2% 11.7% 13.7% 11.8% 11.3% 8.2% 2.9% 0.7%
Bradley Whiteway 8.9% 10.0% 9.7% 11.2% 11.6% 12.9% 11.6% 11.9% 9.2% 2.6% 0.5%
Ossian Kamal 2.8% 4.8% 4.5% 5.9% 6.4% 7.1% 10.1% 12.8% 22.8% 17.8% 5.1%
Jessica Schaefer 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 1.4% 1.9% 1.9% 3.7% 4.9% 9.3% 34.1% 39.6%
Kai Latham 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 1.9% 3.2% 4.5% 7.0% 26.4% 51.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.