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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.07+1.50vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.95+0.58vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.56+0.11vs Predicted
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4Hampton University-0.35+0.37vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.22-1.30vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.62-2.27vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.62-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Christopher Newport University1.070.3%1st Place
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2.58William and Mary0.950.3%1st Place
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3.11Christopher Newport University0.560.2%1st Place
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4.37Hampton University-0.350.1%1st Place
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3.7Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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4.73Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.73Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Ross | 29.3% | 26.5% | 21.0% | 14.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Diana Kong-Wasielewski | 30.0% | 23.9% | 19.7% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 17.8% | 19.9% | 20.2% | 22.3% | 15.0% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 26.8% | 30.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 11.2% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 23.3% | 43.1% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 23.3% | 43.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.