Race 8B

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kyle Pfrang 26.9% 20.4% 15.8% 13.4% 9.4% 6.3% 4.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Katharine Doble 14.1% 16.3% 14.5% 13.1% 13.2% 10.5% 8.6% 5.7% 2.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Will Priebe 10.9% 11.2% 12.7% 14.1% 12.2% 10.9% 10.5% 10.0% 5.9% 1.4% 0.2%
Bradley Whiteway 8.3% 9.7% 10.9% 11.3% 10.3% 13.2% 12.2% 11.6% 8.0% 3.5% 0.9%
Shea Smith 9.2% 10.8% 12.1% 10.1% 12.0% 12.6% 12.0% 9.9% 8.0% 3.0% 0.2%
Calvin Schmid 10.7% 11.8% 13.3% 12.6% 13.0% 11.9% 10.9% 8.5% 5.9% 1.6% 0.1%
Olin Guck 7.1% 7.3% 7.5% 9.0% 9.7% 11.9% 12.4% 14.1% 13.9% 5.7% 1.4%
Ossian Kamal 3.8% 3.4% 3.9% 5.5% 6.3% 7.1% 9.4% 14.7% 23.2% 17.3% 5.2%
Abe Weston 7.1% 7.1% 7.2% 8.6% 10.3% 10.9% 12.8% 13.5% 14.1% 6.6% 1.7%
Jessica Schaefer 1.1% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.5% 3.5% 5.2% 9.4% 32.8% 40.7%
Kai Latham 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 2.8% 4.8% 8.2% 27.0% 49.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.