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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.95+1.66vs Predicted
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2Hampton University-0.35+2.32vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.07-0.57vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.56-0.88vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.22-1.29vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.62-1.24vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.62-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66William and Mary0.950.3%1st Place
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4.32Hampton University-0.350.1%1st Place
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2.43Christopher Newport University1.070.3%1st Place
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3.12Christopher Newport University0.560.2%1st Place
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3.71Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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4.76Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.76Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Kong-Wasielewski | 26.6% | 25.9% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 27.3% | 28.9% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ross | 31.8% | 25.7% | 20.4% | 14.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 19.0% | 17.1% | 21.8% | 21.8% | 15.1% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 11.4% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 21.4% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 4.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 22.3% | 44.4% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 4.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 22.3% | 44.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.