Race 9B

connecticut-valley-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Olin Guck 6.9% 7.3% 8.1% 8.2% 10.1% 10.2% 11.4% 12.3% 10.5% 9.3% 4.8% 0.9%
Bradley Whiteway 8.8% 8.8% 9.2% 10.5% 10.4% 10.3% 11.8% 12.2% 9.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.3%
Kyle Pfrang 24.6% 19.4% 16.9% 13.5% 10.7% 7.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Abe Weston 6.0% 6.8% 6.8% 9.4% 10.1% 9.6% 11.8% 13.1% 12.1% 9.9% 4.0% 0.4%
Ossian Kamal 2.5% 4.1% 4.5% 4.9% 5.0% 7.0% 9.4% 10.4% 16.5% 18.9% 13.4% 3.2%
Calvin Schmid 12.2% 11.6% 11.3% 12.1% 11.8% 11.2% 10.3% 9.3% 5.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Will Priebe 10.3% 11.6% 12.2% 11.9% 12.2% 11.4% 10.1% 9.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Katharine Doble 14.8% 16.4% 15.1% 11.9% 12.8% 10.5% 7.8% 5.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Shea Smith 8.8% 9.8% 10.6% 10.9% 9.6% 12.6% 10.7% 10.1% 8.9% 5.7% 1.9% 0.4%
Kenneth Buck 3.2% 2.9% 3.4% 4.3% 4.9% 5.3% 7.8% 8.2% 13.6% 21.7% 17.4% 7.0%
Jessica Schaefer 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 2.5% 2.7% 3.5% 7.3% 10.3% 28.0% 40.1%
Kai Latham 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 3.5% 6.0% 9.9% 25.5% 47.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.