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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.56+2.17vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.62+2.65vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.22+0.61vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.07-1.55vs Predicted
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5Hampton University-0.35-0.51vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.95-3.37vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.62-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Christopher Newport University0.560.2%1st Place
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4.65Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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3.61Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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2.45Christopher Newport University1.070.3%1st Place
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4.49Hampton University-0.350.1%1st Place
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2.63William and Mary0.950.3%1st Place
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4.65Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Bluefeld | 16.6% | 21.5% | 20.1% | 20.0% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 4.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 23.1% | 41.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 13.5% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 22.4% | 21.6% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ross | 31.0% | 24.6% | 22.5% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 24.8% | 34.2% | 0.0% |
| Diana Kong-Wasielewski | 27.9% | 24.0% | 20.1% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 4.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 23.1% | 41.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.