← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University1.49+0.87vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University0.01+1.63vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University-0.79+1.98vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire-0.38+0.56vs Predicted
-
5Brown University0.38-1.82vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-0.32vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire-2.26+0.47vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-1.97-0.93vs Predicted
-
9Bates College-1.72-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.87Northwestern University1.4949.4%1st Place
-
3.63Northeastern University0.0112.5%1st Place
-
4.98Salve Regina University-0.795.1%1st Place
-
4.56University of New Hampshire-0.387.6%1st Place
-
3.18Brown University0.3816.7%1st Place
-
5.68University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.5%1st Place
-
7.47University of New Hampshire-2.261.0%1st Place
-
7.07Middlebury College-1.971.9%1st Place
-
6.55Bates College-1.722.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 49.4% | 27.3% | 13.7% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 12.5% | 17.1% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 1.9% |
| Sean Lund | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Charles Case | 16.7% | 22.4% | 21.3% | 18.4% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kai Latham | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 6.7% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 22.1% | 40.8% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 25.0% | 29.3% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 20.9% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.