← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.90vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.78+2.79vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.56+2.45vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University3.36+2.15vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.56+0.64vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.87+1.79vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.07+0.02vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.99-0.67vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.11-2.15vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.84-2.12vs Predicted
-
11University of Connecticut1.72+0.09vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College1.58-0.31vs Predicted
-
13Yale University3.29-6.36vs Predicted
-
15Brandeis University0.55-1.54vs Predicted
-
16Bates College1.19-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
4.79Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
-
5.45Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
-
6.15Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
-
5.64Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
-
7.79University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
-
7.02Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
-
7.33Harvard University2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.85Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
-
7.88Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
-
11.09University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
-
11.69Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
-
6.64Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
13.46Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
-
12.32Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alfonso | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Christian Manchester | 14.5% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hughes | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| George Saunders | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Colin Santangelo | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Bo McClatchy | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 10.0% |
| Tom Charpentier | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 19.4% | 21.9% | 13.4% |
| Emily Billing | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 12.4% | 20.6% | 49.1% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 26.1% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.