Race 10B

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Olin Guck 7.0% 6.8% 7.0% 9.4% 9.0% 10.9% 10.7% 14.5% 10.7% 9.7% 3.5% 0.9%
Will Priebe 10.4% 12.0% 12.2% 11.9% 12.2% 11.0% 11.2% 7.8% 6.5% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Shea Smith 10.2% 8.8% 11.3% 12.2% 11.1% 11.7% 11.2% 9.6% 7.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Kyle Pfrang 23.6% 21.9% 15.7% 14.6% 10.1% 6.9% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Everett Botwinick 9.4% 8.6% 10.2% 10.1% 10.9% 10.4% 11.8% 9.5% 10.2% 6.3% 2.4% 0.3%
Katharine Doble 15.5% 15.6% 15.3% 12.8% 12.2% 9.9% 7.5% 5.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Abe Weston 7.3% 8.1% 7.3% 7.7% 10.0% 9.6% 10.9% 13.0% 12.4% 8.9% 4.1% 0.7%
Kenneth Buck 2.8% 3.2% 3.1% 3.9% 4.2% 6.8% 7.9% 9.4% 13.3% 22.7% 17.1% 5.5%
Bradley Whiteway 9.2% 9.9% 11.5% 10.0% 11.3% 11.0% 10.5% 10.7% 9.4% 4.7% 1.6% 0.1%
Andy Giaya 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 4.2% 6.8% 20.2% 59.2%
Jessica Schaefer 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.8% 3.2% 4.2% 5.2% 12.4% 36.7% 30.5%
Ossian Kamal 3.6% 3.8% 4.5% 4.9% 5.9% 8.5% 8.9% 11.2% 16.1% 18.0% 12.0% 2.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.