Race 11B

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Everett Botwinick 8.5% 9.7% 9.7% 9.6% 10.4% 10.5% 11.2% 10.7% 10.8% 6.9% 2.1% 0.2%
Will Priebe 10.9% 10.7% 12.2% 11.8% 12.8% 11.7% 10.8% 9.0% 6.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Kyle Pfrang 24.2% 20.7% 18.6% 13.3% 10.1% 6.4% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Whiteway 9.2% 10.0% 10.0% 10.7% 12.3% 11.5% 10.9% 10.2% 8.0% 4.5% 2.5% 0.2%
Ossian Kamal 4.1% 4.8% 4.4% 4.7% 6.2% 7.6% 8.9% 11.1% 14.3% 18.0% 12.8% 3.0%
Shea Smith 9.4% 9.8% 9.6% 10.5% 11.2% 12.1% 10.8% 10.9% 8.8% 4.8% 1.8% 0.2%
Katharine Doble 17.4% 15.3% 14.5% 14.9% 10.7% 10.0% 7.6% 4.9% 2.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 2.3% 3.2% 3.6% 4.2% 5.9% 6.0% 7.8% 9.2% 14.1% 23.1% 16.4% 4.2%
Abe Weston 6.2% 6.9% 7.5% 8.4% 8.8% 9.3% 11.5% 13.2% 13.5% 10.0% 4.0% 0.7%
Olin Guck 6.3% 7.4% 7.8% 9.0% 8.6% 11.0% 11.2% 11.9% 11.7% 10.3% 4.0% 0.7%
Andy Giaya 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 2.7% 3.3% 5.9% 18.8% 61.6%
Jessica Schaefer 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 2.4% 3.5% 4.3% 5.9% 11.3% 36.5% 29.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.