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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.95+1.64vs Predicted
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2Hampton University-0.35+2.33vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.22+0.60vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.07-1.56vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.56-1.76vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.62-1.24vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.62-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64William and Mary0.950.3%1st Place
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4.33Hampton University-0.350.1%1st Place
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3.6Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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2.44Christopher Newport University1.070.3%1st Place
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3.24Christopher Newport University0.560.2%1st Place
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4.76Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.76Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Kong-Wasielewski | 27.8% | 24.3% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 25.4% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 12.5% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 22.2% | 22.0% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ross | 31.0% | 25.3% | 22.0% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 17.0% | 19.9% | 19.1% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 21.9% | 45.4% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 21.9% | 45.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.