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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.07+1.50vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.22+1.60vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.56+0.11vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.95-1.41vs Predicted
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5Hampton University-0.35-0.54vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.62-1.26vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.62-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Christopher Newport University1.070.3%1st Place
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3.6Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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3.11Christopher Newport University0.560.2%1st Place
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2.59William and Mary0.950.3%1st Place
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4.46Hampton University-0.350.1%1st Place
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4.74Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.74Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Ross | 29.8% | 26.7% | 19.5% | 14.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 13.4% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 22.4% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 18.8% | 18.5% | 21.2% | 21.0% | 15.1% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Diana Kong-Wasielewski | 27.6% | 23.6% | 23.4% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 26.6% | 32.5% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 21.3% | 44.3% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 21.3% | 44.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.