Race 12B

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kyle Pfrang 26.1% 20.4% 16.5% 13.1% 8.6% 7.1% 4.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Olin Guck 5.7% 8.0% 8.2% 8.2% 9.8% 10.8% 10.7% 10.7% 12.8% 8.3% 5.0% 1.5% 0.2%
Bradley Whiteway 9.7% 9.5% 11.3% 10.9% 11.6% 10.5% 11.3% 8.8% 8.0% 4.8% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Shea Smith 9.2% 8.8% 9.5% 12.2% 11.6% 11.1% 11.2% 10.2% 7.8% 5.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Katharine Doble 14.8% 15.6% 14.8% 13.5% 11.2% 10.7% 8.6% 5.5% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Everett Botwinick 8.6% 9.0% 8.6% 10.4% 9.4% 10.4% 11.3% 11.8% 8.9% 6.8% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Will Priebe 11.8% 11.2% 11.8% 11.2% 11.8% 11.2% 9.8% 8.5% 6.7% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Abe Weston 6.5% 6.9% 7.8% 7.8% 9.7% 10.0% 10.1% 12.8% 11.5% 10.0% 5.7% 1.4% 0.3%
Ossian Kamal 3.2% 3.9% 4.5% 5.4% 6.6% 6.8% 8.6% 10.3% 13.3% 16.2% 13.4% 6.5% 1.3%
James Knowlton 0.4% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.9% 1.9% 2.9% 4.0% 5.7% 9.5% 18.1% 27.9% 23.7%
Kenneth Buck 2.9% 3.6% 3.3% 4.0% 5.1% 5.8% 7.0% 9.4% 11.9% 18.1% 17.2% 8.8% 2.8%
Andy Giaya 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 2.9% 5.8% 11.2% 23.5% 47.9%
Jessica Schaefer 0.7% 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 4.1% 6.3% 9.4% 18.1% 28.0% 23.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.