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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+0.82vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+0.42vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.33+0.75vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.20-0.78vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.41-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82California Poly Maritime Academy1.3147.2%1st Place
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2.42California Poly Maritime Academy0.9126.0%1st Place
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3.75University of California at San Diego-0.337.5%1st Place
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3.22Texas A&M University0.2011.8%1st Place
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3.79Arizona State University-0.417.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 47.2% | 31.4% | 14.4% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Conner Skewes | 26.0% | 30.2% | 24.3% | 14.2% | 5.2% |
| Sebastien Franck | 7.5% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 26.6% | 37.0% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 11.8% | 17.8% | 25.4% | 26.7% | 18.3% |
| Mitchell Powers | 7.5% | 9.7% | 17.8% | 26.6% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.