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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.07+1.50vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.22+1.56vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.95-0.41vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.62+0.69vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.56-1.75vs Predicted
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6Hampton University-0.35-1.60vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.62-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Christopher Newport University1.070.3%1st Place
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3.56Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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2.59William and Mary0.950.3%1st Place
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4.69Virginia Tech-0.620.1%1st Place
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3.25Christopher Newport University0.560.2%1st Place
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4.4Hampton University-0.350.1%1st Place
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4.69Virginia Tech-0.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Ross | 29.0% | 27.1% | 21.1% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 14.0% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 21.5% | 20.2% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Diana Kong-Wasielewski | 27.4% | 24.7% | 21.5% | 16.4% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 23.5% | 41.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 17.2% | 19.2% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 26.9% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 23.5% | 41.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.