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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.20+2.27vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.31-0.18vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-0.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.33-0.35vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.41-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Texas A&M University0.2011.9%1st Place
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1.82California Poly Maritime Academy1.3146.9%1st Place
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2.44California Poly Maritime Academy0.9125.0%1st Place
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3.65University of California at San Diego-0.339.0%1st Place
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3.82Arizona State University-0.417.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanna Progelhof | 11.9% | 15.8% | 25.7% | 26.2% | 20.3% |
| Kyle Farmer | 46.9% | 32.2% | 14.0% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Conner Skewes | 25.0% | 31.2% | 23.8% | 14.4% | 5.5% |
| Sebastien Franck | 9.0% | 11.1% | 18.9% | 27.7% | 33.2% |
| Mitchell Powers | 7.1% | 9.7% | 17.5% | 25.8% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.