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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.33+2.69vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.31-0.21vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-0.41+0.84vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-1.61vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University0.20-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69University of California at San Diego-0.336.8%1st Place
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1.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.3149.3%1st Place
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3.84Arizona State University-0.416.7%1st Place
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2.39California Poly Maritime Academy0.9125.8%1st Place
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3.3Texas A&M University0.2011.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Franck | 6.8% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 28.8% | 33.0% |
| Kyle Farmer | 49.3% | 29.4% | 15.4% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 6.7% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 26.2% | 40.9% |
| Conner Skewes | 25.8% | 31.1% | 25.9% | 13.1% | 4.0% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 11.5% | 16.4% | 24.1% | 27.2% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.