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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.20+2.28vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.33+1.70vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-0.57vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.41-0.22vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.31-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Texas A&M University0.2011.9%1st Place
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3.7University of California at San Diego-0.338.1%1st Place
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2.43California Poly Maritime Academy0.9124.5%1st Place
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3.78Arizona State University-0.417.8%1st Place
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1.81California Poly Maritime Academy1.3147.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanna Progelhof | 11.9% | 16.1% | 24.4% | 27.9% | 19.8% |
| Sebastien Franck | 8.1% | 11.3% | 18.5% | 26.9% | 35.2% |
| Conner Skewes | 24.5% | 30.9% | 25.9% | 14.1% | 4.7% |
| Mitchell Powers | 7.8% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 25.9% | 39.5% |
| Kyle Farmer | 47.8% | 30.9% | 15.2% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.