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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+0.78vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.20+1.21vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.33+0.75vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.41-0.16vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78California Poly Maritime Academy1.3148.9%1st Place
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3.21Texas A&M University0.2013.0%1st Place
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3.75University of California at San Diego-0.337.2%1st Place
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3.84Arizona State University-0.416.1%1st Place
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2.42California Poly Maritime Academy0.9124.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 48.9% | 31.4% | 13.7% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 13.0% | 16.8% | 25.3% | 26.1% | 18.9% |
| Sebastien Franck | 7.2% | 10.0% | 19.1% | 27.8% | 35.9% |
| Mitchell Powers | 6.1% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 27.1% | 39.9% |
| Conner Skewes | 24.7% | 31.4% | 25.4% | 14.0% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.