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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+0.79vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.33+1.68vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-0.62vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.20-0.68vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.41-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.3149.1%1st Place
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3.68University of California at San Diego-0.337.3%1st Place
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2.38California Poly Maritime Academy0.9126.5%1st Place
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3.32Texas A&M University0.2010.4%1st Place
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3.83Arizona State University-0.416.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 49.1% | 29.8% | 15.0% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Sebastien Franck | 7.3% | 10.8% | 20.3% | 29.3% | 32.2% |
| Conner Skewes | 26.5% | 31.8% | 23.4% | 14.2% | 4.2% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 10.4% | 17.0% | 24.5% | 26.7% | 21.4% |
| Mitchell Powers | 6.7% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 24.9% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.