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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+0.79vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-0.41+1.81vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.33+0.70vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.20-0.74vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.3150.1%1st Place
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3.81Arizona State University-0.417.0%1st Place
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3.7University of California at San Diego-0.337.0%1st Place
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3.26Texas A&M University0.2011.7%1st Place
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2.44California Poly Maritime Academy0.9124.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 50.1% | 28.7% | 14.2% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Mitchell Powers | 7.0% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 25.3% | 40.4% |
| Sebastien Franck | 7.0% | 12.6% | 19.2% | 26.0% | 35.2% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 11.7% | 15.6% | 25.9% | 28.8% | 18.1% |
| Conner Skewes | 24.3% | 32.0% | 24.4% | 14.2% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.