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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.49+0.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.38+1.07vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.01+0.70vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.38+0.48vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-2.26+2.43vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-0.21vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.79-2.00vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.72-1.50vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.97-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Northwestern University1.4947.3%1st Place
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3.07Brown University0.3818.0%1st Place
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3.7Northeastern University0.0112.5%1st Place
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4.48University of New Hampshire-0.387.7%1st Place
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7.43University of New Hampshire-2.261.5%1st Place
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5.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.082.9%1st Place
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5.0Salve Regina University-0.795.9%1st Place
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6.5Bates College-1.722.5%1st Place
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7.14Middlebury College-1.971.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 47.3% | 29.0% | 14.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Case | 18.0% | 21.8% | 24.5% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Cho | 12.5% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sean Lund | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 22.8% | 39.8% |
| Kai Latham | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 7.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 22.1% | 17.5% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 24.6% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.