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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.99+6.08vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.74vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.87+4.50vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.78+0.81vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.56+0.55vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.11+0.78vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.36-1.05vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.07-1.06vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.56-3.62vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.14-0.09vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.19+1.22vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.29-5.59vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.72-1.92vs Predicted
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15Brandeis University0.55-1.62vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.58-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08Harvard University2.990.1%1st Place
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5.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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4.81Boston College3.780.2%1st Place
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5.55Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.78Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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5.95Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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5.38Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University2.140.0%1st Place
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12.22Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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6.41Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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13.38Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.28Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Santangelo | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| David Alfonso | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Christian Manchester | 15.1% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bo McClatchy | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Carney | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| George Saunders | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bryant Dunn | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 24.6% | 24.0% |
| Emily Billing | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 9.5% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 21.3% | 48.3% |
| Tom Charpentier | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 21.1% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.