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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+0.83vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.20+1.22vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-0.59vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.41-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.33-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83California Poly Maritime Academy1.3146.7%1st Place
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3.22Texas A&M University0.2012.2%1st Place
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2.41California Poly Maritime Academy0.9126.6%1st Place
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3.86Arizona State University-0.416.5%1st Place
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3.68University of California at San Diego-0.338.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 46.7% | 31.9% | 14.6% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 12.2% | 16.8% | 26.6% | 25.8% | 18.8% |
| Conner Skewes | 26.6% | 29.3% | 24.5% | 15.6% | 4.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 6.5% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 25.4% | 41.9% |
| Sebastien Franck | 8.2% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 27.6% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.