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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.70+0.80vs Predicted
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2University of Texas1.17-0.46vs Predicted
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3Rice University-0.66-0.34vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.70-2.20vs Predicted
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5Rice University-0.66-2.34vs Predicted
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6Rice University-0.66-3.34vs Predicted
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7Rice University-0.66-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Texas A&M University0.700.4%1st Place
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1.54University of Texas1.170.6%1st Place
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2.66Rice University-0.660.1%1st Place
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1.8Texas A&M University0.700.4%1st Place
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2.66Rice University-0.660.1%1st Place
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2.66Rice University-0.660.1%1st Place
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2.66Rice University-0.660.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Conger | 35.1% | 49.8% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 55.4% | 35.0% | 9.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Small | 9.5% | 15.2% | 75.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Conger | 35.1% | 49.8% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Small | 9.5% | 15.2% | 75.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Small | 9.5% | 15.2% | 75.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Small | 9.5% | 15.2% | 75.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.