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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.38+3.59vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.49-0.11vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.38+0.08vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.01-0.30vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.79+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-0.29vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-2.26+0.42vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.97-0.95vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.72-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59University of New Hampshire-0.387.4%1st Place
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1.89Northwestern University1.4947.9%1st Place
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3.08Brown University0.3817.2%1st Place
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3.7Northeastern University0.0112.7%1st Place
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5.01Salve Regina University-0.796.2%1st Place
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5.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.9%1st Place
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7.42University of New Hampshire-2.261.1%1st Place
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7.05Middlebury College-1.971.5%1st Place
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6.55Bates College-1.722.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Lund | 7.4% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Shea Smith | 47.9% | 28.8% | 13.7% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Case | 17.2% | 24.2% | 22.4% | 17.9% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 12.7% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Kai Latham | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 7.5% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 21.8% | 40.5% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 23.8% | 29.8% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 23.2% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.