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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+3.95vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+6.48vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.42+0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island-0.09+0.60vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.53vs Predicted
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6Boston University-0.64-0.06vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.76+2.24vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-1.10-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.09-1.73vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.33-1.99vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.54-2.29vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-2.38-1.48vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0911.6%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.483.2%1st Place
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3.02Fairfield University0.4227.1%1st Place
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4.6University of Rhode Island-0.0913.6%1st Place
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5.53University of New Hampshire-0.009.9%1st Place
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5.94Boston University-0.648.2%1st Place
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9.24Middlebury College-1.762.6%1st Place
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7.4Bentley University-1.104.8%1st Place
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7.27University of New Hampshire-1.094.8%1st Place
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8.01University of New Hampshire-1.334.0%1st Place
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8.71University of New Hampshire-1.543.2%1st Place
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10.52Olin College of Engineering-2.381.5%1st Place
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7.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.085.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Van Zanten | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Norman Walker | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 27.1% | 23.5% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Josh Sultanik | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Talia Trigg | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 15.9% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 3.8% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Vincent (Vinny) Pallotto | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.0% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 12.6% |
| Daniel Heitz | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 39.0% |
| Kai Latham | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.