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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+3.96vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.42+1.07vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.00+2.57vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island-0.09+0.68vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+3.44vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-1.10+1.25vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.33+1.18vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.54+0.53vs Predicted
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9Boston University-0.64-3.01vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.09-2.59vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-2.38-0.45vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-4.83vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.76-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0911.6%1st Place
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3.07Fairfield University0.4227.4%1st Place
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5.57University of New Hampshire-0.009.7%1st Place
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4.68University of Rhode Island-0.0913.3%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.483.2%1st Place
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7.25Bentley University-1.105.5%1st Place
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8.18University of New Hampshire-1.333.9%1st Place
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8.53University of New Hampshire-1.543.1%1st Place
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5.99Boston University-0.648.1%1st Place
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7.41University of New Hampshire-1.094.2%1st Place
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10.55Olin College of Engineering-2.381.4%1st Place
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7.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.085.5%1st Place
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9.19Middlebury College-1.763.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Van Zanten | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 27.4% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 13.3% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Norman Walker | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 9.5% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Vincent (Vinny) Pallotto | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.3% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.8% |
| Josh Sultanik | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 4.2% |
| Daniel Heitz | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 40.6% |
| Kai Latham | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Talia Trigg | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.