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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island-0.09+3.67vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.00+3.60vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.42+0.02vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+0.95vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+3.45vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+1.31vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.09+0.12vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.64-1.97vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.54-0.38vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.76-0.89vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.33-2.90vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-2.38-1.43vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.10-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67University of Rhode Island-0.0913.8%1st Place
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5.6University of New Hampshire-0.009.4%1st Place
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3.02Fairfield University0.4227.0%1st Place
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4.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0912.3%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.483.2%1st Place
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7.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.085.5%1st Place
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7.12University of New Hampshire-1.095.7%1st Place
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6.03Boston University-0.648.2%1st Place
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8.62University of New Hampshire-1.542.9%1st Place
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9.11Middlebury College-1.762.8%1st Place
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8.1University of New Hampshire-1.333.2%1st Place
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10.57Olin College of Engineering-2.381.5%1st Place
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7.44Bentley University-1.104.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Asofsky | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| James Sullivan | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 27.0% | 23.7% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Norman Walker | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% |
| Kai Latham | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Josh Sultanik | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 11.7% |
| Talia Trigg | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 15.9% |
| Vincent (Vinny) Pallotto | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 7.0% |
| Daniel Heitz | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 40.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.