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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+3.86vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.00+3.54vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.42+0.04vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island-0.09+0.60vs Predicted
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5Boston University-0.64+0.87vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+2.39vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.10+0.35vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.33+0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-1.85vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.09-2.62vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.54-2.24vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.76-2.68vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering-2.38-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0911.9%1st Place
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5.54University of New Hampshire-0.009.2%1st Place
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3.04Fairfield University0.4227.5%1st Place
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4.6University of Rhode Island-0.0914.4%1st Place
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5.87Boston University-0.648.1%1st Place
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8.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.482.8%1st Place
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7.35Bentley University-1.105.1%1st Place
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8.13University of New Hampshire-1.333.7%1st Place
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7.15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.085.5%1st Place
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7.38University of New Hampshire-1.094.4%1st Place
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8.76University of New Hampshire-1.542.6%1st Place
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9.32Middlebury College-1.762.5%1st Place
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10.63Olin College of Engineering-2.382.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Van Zanten | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 27.5% | 21.7% | 17.4% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 14.4% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Josh Sultanik | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Norman Walker | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 8.6% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Vincent (Vinny) Pallotto | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 7.7% |
| Kai Latham | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 12.8% |
| Talia Trigg | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 17.5% |
| Daniel Heitz | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.