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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University-0.64+4.55vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island-0.09+2.31vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.00+2.25vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.42-1.14vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-0.24vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+1.85vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.54+1.10vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.09-1.33vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.33-1.41vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.10-3.25vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.76-2.46vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-2.38-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Boston University-0.649.2%1st Place
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4.31University of Rhode Island-0.0913.5%1st Place
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5.25University of New Hampshire-0.0010.1%1st Place
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2.86Fairfield University0.4230.8%1st Place
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4.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0910.7%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.483.8%1st Place
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8.1University of New Hampshire-1.542.9%1st Place
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6.67University of New Hampshire-1.095.9%1st Place
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7.59University of New Hampshire-1.333.9%1st Place
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6.75Bentley University-1.105.5%1st Place
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8.54Middlebury College-1.762.9%1st Place
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9.79Olin College of Engineering-2.381.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Sultanik | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 13.5% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 30.8% | 22.4% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Norman Walker | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.4% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 12.1% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Vincent (Vinny) Pallotto | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 8.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Talia Trigg | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 18.4% |
| Daniel Heitz | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.