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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.38+3.58vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.01+1.72vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.38+0.13vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.49-2.09vs Predicted
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5Bates College-1.72+1.46vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-0.29vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.79-2.08vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-2.26-0.56vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.97-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58University of New Hampshire-0.387.4%1st Place
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3.72Northeastern University0.0112.0%1st Place
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3.13Brown University0.3817.3%1st Place
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1.91Northwestern University1.4947.2%1st Place
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6.46Bates College-1.722.9%1st Place
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5.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.084.5%1st Place
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4.92Salve Regina University-0.795.9%1st Place
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7.44University of New Hampshire-2.261.0%1st Place
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7.14Middlebury College-1.971.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Lund | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Isabella Cho | 12.0% | 16.8% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Charles Case | 17.3% | 22.7% | 22.2% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 47.2% | 28.6% | 14.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 21.5% | 20.3% | 17.0% |
| Kai Latham | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 7.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.9% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 2.9% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 40.9% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 26.1% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.