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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.63+3.72vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.77+5.17vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.61+1.71vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+1.97vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.55+0.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.37-0.52vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.06-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93-1.21vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.48+1.83vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.10-3.57vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.41-3.65vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-0.10+0.69vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut0.66-1.47vs Predicted
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15Bates College0.07-1.63vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.17Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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4.71Roger Williams University3.610.2%1st Place
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5.97Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.11Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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5.48Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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6.33Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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10.83Northeastern University1.480.0%1st Place
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6.43Harvard University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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13.69Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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13.37Bates College0.070.0%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Perkins | 14.1% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 15.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Simmons | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Walsh | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 21.7% | 20.0% | 11.4% | 2.4% |
| Jason Michas | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Fiske | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Josh Basseches | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 15.2% | 25.7% | 45.5% |
| James Fales | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 25.5% | 27.4% | 16.3% |
| Nick Sneath | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 17.1% | 29.5% | 34.3% |
| Charles Field | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.