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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+2.57vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.27+1.96vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+1.10vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.57-0.55vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29-1.09vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.56-0.79vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.96-2.48vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.03-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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3.96University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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4.1Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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3.45Yale University3.570.2%1st Place
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3.91Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.21Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.52Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.27Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 19.1% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| Michael Booker | 14.3% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 3.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 14.0% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 3.5% |
| Max Nickbarg | 19.4% | 20.0% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Emily Billing | 13.4% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 1.8% |
| Timothy Harding | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 25.6% | 11.8% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 11.5% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 5.2% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 12.7% | 71.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.