← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.57+2.31vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont3.27+2.00vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.29+0.93vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.56+1.24vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.41-1.31vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.21-1.99vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.96-2.46vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.03-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.31Yale University3.570.2%1st Place
-
4.0University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
3.93Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
5.24Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
-
3.69Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
-
4.01Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
4.54Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
-
7.28Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Nickbarg | 21.9% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Michael Booker | 13.6% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 3.3% |
| Emily Billing | 14.7% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 8.4% | 2.8% |
| Timothy Harding | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 25.8% | 11.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 15.4% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 1.3% |
| David Liebenberg | 14.3% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 3.2% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 19.0% | 4.8% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 12.1% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.