← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.41+2.66vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.21+2.08vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.56+2.20vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.29-0.05vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.57-1.54vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont3.27-2.05vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.03+0.25vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.96-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.66Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
-
4.08Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
5.2Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
-
3.95Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
3.46Yale University3.570.2%1st Place
-
3.95University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
7.25Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
-
4.43Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 18.0% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| David Liebenberg | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 2.6% |
| Timothy Harding | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 27.0% | 10.6% |
| Emily Billing | 14.7% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 2.4% |
| Max Nickbarg | 18.4% | 20.7% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Michael Booker | 14.4% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 2.8% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 73.0% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.