Race 4A

dave-perry

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
David Liebenberg 14.7% 13.4% 15.6% 14.5% 14.9% 13.8% 10.3% 2.8%
Dan Nickerson 16.5% 17.0% 15.4% 16.7% 14.4% 10.6% 7.1% 2.3%
Max Nickbarg 21.3% 17.2% 17.0% 14.0% 12.0% 11.5% 5.4% 1.6%
Michael Booker 14.1% 15.3% 13.8% 14.7% 15.3% 12.6% 11.5% 2.7%
Emily Billing 13.3% 16.9% 15.6% 13.1% 14.6% 14.2% 10.6% 1.7%
Jordan Bothwick 11.7% 10.5% 11.4% 14.8% 14.4% 15.8% 16.4% 5.0%
Timothy Harding 7.1% 7.6% 9.0% 9.9% 11.2% 16.9% 26.4% 11.9%
Colin Henderson 1.3% 2.1% 2.2% 2.3% 3.2% 4.6% 12.3% 72.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.