← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University0.82+1.58vs Predicted
-
2Florida State University-0.27+2.42vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College-0.17+1.20vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida-0.86+1.45vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University0.36-1.67vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami-0.53-1.14vs Predicted
-
7Embry-Riddle University-2.33+0.27vs Predicted
-
8-0.06-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.58Jacksonville University0.8231.4%1st Place
-
4.42Florida State University-0.279.7%1st Place
-
4.2Eckerd College-0.1711.8%1st Place
-
5.45University of South Florida-0.865.5%1st Place
-
3.33Jacksonville University0.3619.2%1st Place
-
4.86University of Miami-0.537.0%1st Place
-
7.27Embry-Riddle University-2.330.9%1st Place
-
3.89-0.0614.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agija Elerte | 31.4% | 23.7% | 20.0% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Tia Schoening | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 13.5% | 4.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 11.8% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 2.7% |
| Jordan MacMoyle | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 29.8% | 11.8% |
| Ella Bilow | 19.2% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Danielle Ketner | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 7.0% |
| Samantha Piccerillo | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 71.2% |
| KA Hamner | 14.6% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.