Race 5A

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Emily Billing 16.0% 14.1% 16.5% 15.1% 14.2% 12.0% 9.7% 2.4%
Dan Nickerson 16.4% 17.9% 13.9% 16.0% 15.0% 11.0% 7.7% 2.1%
David Liebenberg 14.3% 13.2% 13.8% 15.4% 13.9% 15.9% 10.3% 3.2%
Jordan Bothwick 10.5% 11.2% 12.5% 12.6% 15.6% 15.4% 16.8% 5.4%
Max Nickbarg 19.1% 19.3% 18.5% 13.6% 10.8% 12.1% 5.9% 0.7%
Michael Booker 15.2% 14.1% 15.1% 15.6% 14.1% 12.0% 11.2% 2.7%
Timothy Harding 7.3% 8.1% 7.5% 9.5% 13.1% 16.1% 26.7% 11.7%
Colin Henderson 1.2% 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 3.3% 5.5% 11.7% 71.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.