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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+2.66vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.57+1.43vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+0.94vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.270.00vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56+0.25vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.96-1.51vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.03+0.26vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.21-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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3.43Yale University3.570.2%1st Place
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3.94Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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5.25Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.49Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.26Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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3.96Tufts University3.210.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 16.3% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 2.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 19.9% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 0.7% |
| Emily Billing | 15.0% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 2.6% |
| Michael Booker | 14.4% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 2.8% |
| Timothy Harding | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 25.5% | 9.8% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 5.3% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 73.6% |
| David Liebenberg | 15.7% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.