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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.27+2.91vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+2.13vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+0.76vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.57-0.49vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.96-0.41vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50-2.47vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.56-1.71vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.03-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91University of Vermont3.270.2%1st Place
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4.13Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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3.76Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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3.51Yale University3.570.2%1st Place
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4.59Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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3.53Yale University3.500.2%1st Place
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5.29Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.29Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Booker | 15.4% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 2.4% |
| David Liebenberg | 13.2% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 4.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 17.6% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 2.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 17.8% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 5.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 18.3% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 1.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 17.0% | 27.4% | 11.6% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 12.3% | 72.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.