Race 1A

2023-carolina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nicholas Patin 7.1% 11.0% 14.9% 18.6% 19.0% 17.1% 9.4% 2.6% 0.2%
David Manley 17.0% 24.3% 21.6% 18.8% 11.1% 5.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Eliott Raison 54.2% 27.9% 12.6% 3.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Annika Milstien 6.7% 10.0% 13.8% 15.8% 19.4% 19.4% 11.3% 3.4% 0.4%
Robert Gates 0.7% 1.8% 2.7% 3.7% 5.3% 9.0% 24.5% 30.0% 22.2%
Rowan Barnes 6.4% 11.2% 17.0% 16.9% 17.8% 19.2% 8.4% 2.9% 0.4%
Ian Hoogenboom 6.4% 11.2% 14.0% 17.5% 18.3% 18.1% 11.2% 2.9% 0.4%
Charles Palmer 0.4% 0.7% 1.8% 1.6% 3.0% 4.7% 13.2% 24.8% 49.9%
Sydney Alligood 1.1% 1.9% 1.8% 3.6% 4.7% 7.1% 20.2% 33.2% 26.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.