Race 2A

2023-carolina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
David Manley 16.0% 25.1% 22.3% 18.4% 11.3% 5.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Eliott Raison 52.1% 28.4% 12.7% 5.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rowan Barnes 8.4% 10.1% 14.8% 16.8% 19.4% 18.6% 8.9% 2.7% 0.4%
Annika Milstien 6.6% 10.1% 14.2% 16.4% 17.6% 19.6% 11.0% 4.2% 0.4%
Nicholas Patin 6.9% 11.3% 14.1% 17.8% 19.2% 17.0% 10.5% 2.6% 0.5%
Ian Hoogenboom 7.2% 10.8% 15.0% 15.7% 18.6% 18.9% 10.8% 2.5% 0.5%
Robert Gates 0.7% 1.9% 2.4% 5.0% 5.6% 8.3% 23.9% 31.2% 21.1%
Charles Palmer 0.8% 0.8% 1.8% 1.5% 3.0% 4.5% 12.5% 24.9% 50.3%
Sydney Alligood 1.4% 1.5% 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 7.4% 20.9% 31.8% 26.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.