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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.27+2.43vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.57+1.02vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+0.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.21-0.41vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.96-0.99vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.03+0.66vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.56-2.33vs Predicted
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8Yale University0.34-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of Vermont3.270.2%1st Place
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3.02Yale University3.570.2%1st Place
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3.29Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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3.59Tufts University3.210.2%1st Place
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4.01Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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6.66Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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4.67Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.31Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Booker | 17.9% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Max Nickbarg | 23.4% | 21.2% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 20.6% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| David Liebenberg | 16.3% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 11.4% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 12.0% | 42.3% | 30.7% |
| Timothy Harding | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 23.5% | 15.2% | 3.0% |
| Zachary Foreman | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 23.6% | 63.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.